Recent polling confirms Fort Worth’s Wendy Davis poised to defeat current Senator Kim Brimer in Senate race this November

by PegNews wire

FORT WORTH — Wendy Davis, candidate for State Senate District 10, released today the results of a poll conducted for her campaign that verified that her record of leadership has positioned her for success this November. The poll revealed evidence that the failed record of her opponent, Senator Kim Brimer, has left voters displeased with his lack of representation and exhibiting an overwhelming desire for change. Confirming the results and showing a widening trend of an earlier poll conducted by the Lone Star Project in May of 2007 (attached), and turnout data from the March 4th, 2008 primary (below), the new data makes clear that Wendy Davis is extremely well-positioned to defeat Kim Brimer in November.

Among the May 2008 poll's most salient findings:

When respondents were asked "If the general election were held today, for whom would you vote?" - without hearing any information, positive or negative, about the candidates - 20-year Republican incumbent Kim Brimer starts the race in a statistical dead heat with challenger Wendy Davis (39% to 35%).
Only 41% of the electorate can identify Kim Brimer, a shockingly low number for an incumbent of 20 years. (The Lone Star Project poll had Brimer's recognition at just 49.7% when identifying him as State Senator Kim Brimer.)
Only 25% of voters say that Brimer deserves to be reelected, while 42% believe it's time to elect someone new. (This corresponds to the Lone Star Project poll, which found that only 27.4% of voters surveyed wanted to see Brimer reelected.)

The poll was conducted by Bennett, Petts & Normington (BPN), a respected national polling firm, with a sample size of 400 likely voters in Texas's 10th State Senate District. The poll had a margin of error of 4.9%. BPN conducted polling for Paula Hightower Pierson in her successful bid against State Representative Toby Goodman in 2006 and for Dan Barrett's special election win in House District 97 last fall.

This poll also echoes the March primary results, when twice as many Democrats as Republicans turned out to vote. Looking specifically at this race, only 33,543 Republicans voted for Kim Brimer, while 62,574 Democrats voted for Wendy Davis. Both candidates were uncontested in their primaries.

Source: Wendy Davis Campaign

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Scott Doyle, says:

Good thing local politics has never been volatile in the past! November's a ways away, peeps - I wouldn't buy any cases of champagne just yet.

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1 year, 5 months ago
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EdWeirdness, says:

Has it escaped your notice, that either candidate, running unopposed in the primary, would have won regardless? While Kim Brimer has worked diligently to piss off conservatives and independents equally, the fact that either candidate, in the absence of competition, won a specific number of votes, is meaningless in the GE. Some people might have stayed home because the primary was a foregone conclusion, yet others might have turned out to assure that neither Obama or Clinton was the national candidate.